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First, Hal's Analysis of Ukraine Russia upcoming war .. released "for free" from Hal Turner Radio Show - Home because Hal decided it was too important to have behind his subscriber pay wall. All Q-dos to Hal - we fully recommend him to you.
-Hal's Analysis of Ukraine Russia upcoming war-
-..Summary - how we got into this mess and how NATO, US and especially EU provocations have brought us to the brink of WW3. The map below shows the small Russian Exclave (external Russian Territory) of Kaliningrad that Hal mentions - it is orange just atop Poland. Original Audio link here.About this section of Yellings - Whilst this started off focused on Biden's historical shenanigans as VP (Vice President) in Ukraine, this is now more focused on his posturing and harassment of Russia, our old ally, that nearly brought about WW3 in April 2021 and is looking again to be a danger to world stability at the end of 2021.
This page also serves to highlight Biden's impossible strategic blunders - impossible because the only way anyone could make such catastrophically bad decisions is if they were deliberate.
Overview Map of Ukraine and Crimea(red)
This shows their proximity to Moscow / Russia and why Putin has strategic concerns. The Black sea is at the bottom and Russia's Caspian Sea is at the right. For our American friends, this is eastern Europe with France and Germany to the left. By ship, the Black Sea can only be reached via the Mediterranean Sea.
Dispelling MSM Disinformation
We have to keep correcting the gaslighting - eg: Putin's Ukraine obsession may spark a Major European war .. no, it is not Putin, it is the EU and more specifically the Davos Cabal which controls Biden & NATO!!
It was the EU who started a violent coup in 2014 that exiled a former Russia friendly president
This was because former president Yanukovych would not sign an EU agreement. See Revolution of Dignity - Wikipedia where all is revealed in the first 2 paragraphs.
We copy it here in case someone rewrites Wiki history (as we know happened with the complete erasure of earlier Bilderberg Group revisions)..
The Revolution of Dignity (Ukrainian: Революція гідности, romanized: Revoliutsiia hidnosty), also known as the Maidan revolution[2] (Ukrainian: Українська революція 2013-2014 років, romanized: Ukrainska revoliutsiia 2013-2014 rokiv), took place in Ukraine in February 2014[2][1] at the end of the Euromaidan protests,[1] when a series of violent events involving protesters, riot police, and unknown shooters in the Ukrainian capital Kyiv culminated in the ousting of elected president Viktor Yanukovych, and the overthrow of the Ukrainian government.[1][2]
In November 2013 a wave of large scale protests (known as Euromaidan) erupted in response to president Yanukovych's refusal to sign a political association and free trade agreement with the European Union at a meeting of the Eastern Partnership in Vilnius, Lithuania. These protests continued for months. In February 2014 clashes between the protestors and the riot police became violent, and resulted in the deaths of nearly 130 people, including 18 police officers.[29] On February 21, an agreement between president Yanukovych and the leaders of the parliamentary opposition was signed that called for early elections and the formation of an interim unity government. The following day, Yanukovych fled from the capital ahead of an impeachment vote.[30] The protesters proceeded to take control of the capital buildings. On the same day, the parliament declared that Yanukovych was relieved of duty in a 328-to-0 vote.[31][32][33]
It is as simple as that. Every time you hear about Russian Aggression, Putin doing this and that, Russia annexing the Crimea, etc etc know these facts and know how much the MSM twists and lies, and know how it all links back to the Davos Cabal and the EU Hegemony. The facts:
Do you now see how big the MSM lie is?
- It was the EU's ambition to essentially Annex the Ukraine started all this
- NATO is driven by the EU. The US is the biggest part of NATO, hence the Davos Cabal being the "swamp" that influenced the 2020 US election.
- The EU funded the Euromaidan riots that led directly to the Maidan Revolution as cited above.
- The revolution was a Coup, not a revolution. Previously elected President Yanukovych was exiled in 2014
- for balance, some say his election was influenced by Russia (but certainly not by a bloody coup).
- Native Russian ethnics in the East of the Ukraine (inc Crimea and Donbass) continue to seek independence as they consider an anti Russian government was imposed on them.
- Crimea - a peninsula that is more of an island, is part of this East. They were NOT Annexed by Putin. They organized an Independence Vote (which was allegedly assisted by Russia) and won a 90%+ majority.
- This is the same style of Independence Vote that the EU have encouraged in Scotland to destroy the UK
- This is the same style of Independence Vote that the EU & Spain have crushed in Catalonia as it was unwelcome
- This is the same style of Independence Vote that the UK held to escape the EU hegemony, and that has been creating friction and near war from the EU (esp under warmongering Macron).
- It is the Ukrainians who keep attacking the Russian ethnics in the East. Putin is defending them.
- This region is critical the Russia's strategic access to Europe for trade and defense.
- Losing it would be like Russia invading Texas and setting up missile silos within the US.
- The EU wants the Ukraine to be in NATO (and an EU member). Every time this is mooted, Putin moves more troops to the border.
- Every time there are joint Ukraine NATO exercises in the Black Sea, Putin sees a threat and moves more troops to the border.
- Etc.
There is of course more back history - All the Ukraine was once in the USSR until the end of the cold war. The Ukraine was home to Russia's larger armament factories and nuke stockpiles.
What might Conventional or Nuclear War mean?
First, lets point out that the claim of atomic war has been made by numerous parties, one example being Prelude To Atomic War in April 2021 further down the page here, and all stem from the increased talk of "small theater" use of small strategic nukes, not some global conflagration. That said, if there is a war in the Ukraine, it could easily escalate, especially if China and N Korea see it as an opportunity to also invade Taiwan and S Korea - people forget N Korea has the largest navy in the world, albeit perhaps nowhere near as modern.
Ironically, the introduction of antimissile technology (eg: Israel's Iron Dome) has made such strategic nuke use more thinkable by military leaders.
More ominously, with Putin and Xi getting closer, they may deliberately launch an attack in all theaters at once. However, that is unlikely given that China is not well set up for war. It's armies have no combat experience. It also has "the 3 Gorges Dam" which makes much of China a sitting duck for a missile attack. Mind you, we in the West have La Palma which could see half our coast lines washed away if they targeted that Island. See Yellings - Climate.
In any event, it may not be nuclear at all. We pointed out in a much earlier analysis (in April) that Putin, being the master chess player, will not start some kind of conventional 18th century offensive charging over the hill, he will just have his special forces parachute straight into Kiev, and then, like the Taliban, the bulk of his army will just saunter in. This will make Kiev into a giant human shield - try bombing an army that is occupying your capital city! To be sure he will start a tit-for-tat skirmish in Donbas to lure out Ukraine's Army.
In his first days of presidency, Biden boasted signing 20+
presidential decrees reversing Trump Policies. That created the
Southern Border Crisis. It also included unraveling Trump's
meticulous plans for a staged withdrawal with Taliban adherence to
agreements monitored and confirmed at each step.
Fast forward to Aug 15th 2021, the Taliban invaded Kabul,
Afghanistan. Biden decided to not only get all the soldiers out,
he decided to tell the Taliban and he withdrew quickly while all
our civilians were still there. He decided we don't need to
protect them because the well trained Afghan army would - so he
pulled out all the contractors that support their hardware.
So Afghan Man ran away. They stood and fought for 0 minutes. The
Taliban just drove in on old battered street vehicles like
something out of Mad Max. They then proceeded to stone Female
pilots to death in Kandahar (reported by Sidney Powell), burn
women alive or beat them to death for bad cooking(see Timeline),
go house to house capturing anyone who supported the West's Nation
Building efforts, even killing one former female police officer
with a screw driver through eye or ear to the brain - in front of
her family.
Noting their desertion, including tales of them giving US Arms to
Taliban, and noting planes full of Afghan Men only, we ran an
analysis titled #96/ (Aug 19th) .. Afghan Man.. not
worth saving? Well, it's worse than that... Girl in Austria Raped
and Murdered by Gang of Afghan Asylum Seekers - MEDIA BLACKOUT -
News Punch - as one pundit put it, they treat women and
girls like dogs. And STILL the MSM covers for these appalling
policy decisions - Anarcho-feminists
storm Austrian newspaper over 'racist' reporting in high-profile
teen gang-rape & murder case RT World News. Lets keep
in mind they produce most of the World's Opium too.
It's not racist to hold such concerns (albeit one wonders) - it
is much more to do with their culture, especially their religion.
And so it seems 20 years of Nation Building was a good plan. It
also meant we had a Western Base in the middle of some not very
well behaved, or at least not very friendly, Mideastern countries
(Pakistan has allowed use of it's airspace - otherwise we'd have
to travel there by moonshot - but no one has allowed us to set up
a base closer than the UAE.
But enough of all that said Biden, we're done. And he went. And
his intelligence was so woefully inept, we think he should be
parachuted in with both Gen Milley and Lloyd Austen.
-
-
Carole Cadwalla
@carolecadwalla - Twitter
Wiki: "British author, investigative journalist and features writer. She is a features writer for The Observer and formerly worked at The Daily Telegraph.[1] Cadwalladr rose to international prominence in 2018 when she exposed the FacebookCambridge Analytica data scandal." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carole_CadwalladrYellings Op Ed:
We don't agree with it all, especially not the needless Trump barb in tweet #13/ which demonstrates that she is under the same bigoted spell as millions on the left, and somewhat discredits her acumen.
HOWEVER, it demonstrates an overall understanding that we arrived at recently, that Putin is taking us all for fools, manipulating us and elections, and that more importantly, he is coming after all of us, not just the Ukraine (the #Nyquist Scenario).
That lightbulb moment came when for us, just before the invasion, and even before the "peace keeping" romp in the Donbass, when we saw Putin "retreating", or, as his press wanted us to hear, troops started going home. There were videos of trains full of tanks leaving the Crimea, etc.
Somehow that made me, Yellings editor, angry. Because then it became abundantly clear he was psychologically fooling us and tormenting people. Why? Because how could he be so concerned about the Ukraine being in NATO one minute, then just switch off all that passion like "who cares?".
It became clear this was all a show. Worse was to come cementing the idea in place - Putin came back again and built up a bigger force, all the time saying "we will not invade", "we are not going to invade". He even went as far as mocking the West for constantly jumping to conclusions. Then he did invade, wiping out all the credibility of his own word along with all his various long suffering press mouthpieces at a stroke (they must have been angry and confused as they realized they were caught up in the lie, because it is quite clear, some in [eg:] RT actually believed they were being honest and good journalists).
Then I read up about the use of Fear and Cognitive Dissonance and how it is used to manipulate and confuse us, breaking our individual confidence in our own ability to reason, hence a kind of mile hypnosis - where, for example, people can ignore prima facie election fraud, cannot see the illogical hypocrisy in labeling non vaxers as endangering the vaxed, and think nothing of banning free speech for a sitting president. I'll try and find links to these findings later.
Obviously she understands the machinations better than we do. She claims this info / cyber war has been going on since 2014.
Thread from HERE added Feb 28
--//--
Ok. Deep breath.
I think we may look back on this as the first Great Information War. Except we're already 8 years in.
The first Great Information War began in 2014. The invasion of Ukraine is the latest front. And the idea it doesn't already involve us is fiction, a lie.
1/
10:05 PM Feb 27, 2022Twitter Web App
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
Replying to
@carolecadwalla
It was Putin's fury at the removal of President Yankovych in Feb 2014 that kicked everything off. Information operations were first crucial step in invasion of Crimea & Donbass. A deliberate attempt to warp reality to confuse both Ukrainians & the world.
2/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
This was not new. The Soviets had practiced "dezinformatsiya" for years. But what was new in 2014 was technology. Social media. It was a transformative moment. "Hybrid warfare" on steroids: a golden Willy Wonka ticket to manipulate hearts & minds. Almost completely invisibly.
3/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
But it wasn't just Ukraine. We now know Russia began another offensive in Feb 2014. Against the West. Specifically, but not exclusively, America. How do we know this? Because the FBI conducted a forensic, multi-year investigation. That almost no-one paid any attention to.
4/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
The Mueller Report. You've heard of it. But probably as a headline about how it didn't "prove" collusion between the Kremlin & Trump campaign. We can come back to that. What it did prove - BEYOND ANY DOUBT - was that Russia attacked 2016 US election through multiple routes.
5/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
And just *one* of the ways Russia attacked 2016 US election was via the tech platforms. Especially: Facebook. This was a military technique, it pioneered in Ukraine in 2014. By 2016, it refined, iterated & supersized these. Most brilliantly of all, they were entirely invisible
6/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
And it wasn't just Russia. Companies such as Cambridge Analytica. Political operatives such as Manafort. Amoral opportunists such as Cummings. They learned how to exploit a platform that was totally open - anyone could do so. And totally closed - no-one could see how.
7/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
But also it *was* Russia. That's what the Mueller Report proves. And, again, Ukraine is at centre of it all.(Read
@profshaw
's thread here. Note walk-on role for Arron Banks's business partner & his friend the Russian spy)
8/
Quote Tweet
Tamsin Shaw
@ProfessorShaw
Feb 24
Are there still people out there who think the alarm over GOP-Russia ties in 2016 was cooked up by HRC? It was always about Ukraine. Paul Manafort, Rick Gates and Konstantin Kilimnik (Russian intelligence agent) took Trump a plan for Ru taking Eastern Ukraine 1/6
Show this thread
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
In 2016, we knew none of this. Russia & other bad actors acted with impunity &, in some cases alignment. But now, through the sheer bloody hard work of academics, journalists & FBI, we do know.
But it was complex, messy, difficult. So..We brushed it all under the carpet
9/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
We failed to acknowledge Russia had staged a military attack on the West. We called it "meddling". We used words like "interference". It wasn't. It was warfare. We've been under military attack for eight years now.
10/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
This failure is at the heart of what is happening now in Ukraine. Because the first offensive in the Great Information War was from 2014-2022. And Putin won.
And he won by convincing us it wasn't even a war.
11/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
We fell for it. We said it was "just ads" that "don't work anyhow". And "a bot didn't tell me to vote". Facebook is still an open threat surface. Exploited by authoritarians from Philippines to India to Brazil to Hungary. It's maybe not a world war. But the world is at war.
12/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
Meanwhile, in Britain, we're a captured state. In America, the institutions of govt worked. Even in spite of Trump. The authorities investigated. Individuals were indicted, charged, jailed. The hostile actions of a foreign state examined & unpicked.
13/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
(Not that it mattered.) The US media & therefore public failed to understand the real lessons of Mueller Report. And in the UK? We didn't even bother trying. We allowed Johnson's govt to sweep 2016 under the carpet. Nigel Farage. Arron Banks. Facebook. Russia. The lot.
14/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
But it wasn't 'just ads'. It was war. And it's absolutely crucial that we now understand that Putin's attack on Ukraine & the West was a JOINT attack on both.
That began at the exact same time.
Across the exact same platforms.
15/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
And this new front, the invasion of Ukraine, is not just about Ukraine. We are part of the plan. We have always been part of the plan. And Ukraine is not just fighting for Ukraine but for the rest of us too.
16/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
And maybe that could be why we've failed to understand Putin's strategy in Ukraine? Because it's not just a strategy in Ukraine. It's directed at us too. And that's what makes this such a uniquely perilous moment. Not least, because we still don't understand we're at war.
17/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
If it helps, the penny dropped for me with Skripal. Planned by the GRU - Russia's military intelligence. As was the weaponised hack-&-leak of Hillary's emails. Military doctrine carried out by military officials in military operations. Just like the one now in Ukraine.
18/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
Anyway. You may think this is obvious or simplistic or naive. (It's all 3.) But fuck it. I don't care. Because what I've realised is that I've been an (information) war reporter for last 6 years. And the online equivalent of a thermobaric bomb has sucked the oxygen out of me
19/
Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
17h
The story of Arron Banks is intertwined with every single element of the above. That's for another time. What matters now is Ukraine. And the key to helping it is to understand that Putin isn't just coming for us next. He already has.
https://uacrisis.org/en/help-ukraine
FIN
uacrisis.org
You can help Ukraine against Russian aggression | UACRISIS.ORG
The Russian Federation has actively renewed its military aggression against Ukraine. New escalation threatens more lives. You can help. | Uacrisis.org